Market Signals

Trends, data points, macro shifts

Market-moving signals distilled from 21+ podcasts covering macro trends, sector shifts, and the data points that matter for dealmakers and operators.

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Macro Voices Real Vision: Finance & Investing All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions Risk.net Podcasts Bankless The Grant Williams Podcast CNBC's "Fast Money" Bloomberg Surveillance Motley Fool Money What Goes Up Unhedged Odd Lots The Compound and Friends Animal Spirits Podcast Top Traders Unplugged We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network The Intrinsic Value Podcast - The Investor’s Podcast Network PreMarket Prep Focused Compounding The Long View The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing
Steve Eisman Says an OpenAI Failure Triggers a Recession
LATEST ISSUE

Steve Eisman Says an OpenAI Failure Triggers a Recession

The AI trade is shifting from equity growth to a high-stakes credit story. As OpenAI and data center debt face a stress test, experts warn of a potential systemic recession.

· 7 min read
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ALL MARKET SIGNALS ISSUES

Larry McDonald Says S&P Brands Are Down 30% to 70%

Market calm is an illusion; internal equity weakness, sovereign debt strains, and 30-70% drawdowns for many "world class brands" signal systemic fragility despite S&P 500 highs.

Oct 14 · 17 min read

Cam Harvey Says 5% Is the New Normal for Rates

Duke Professor Cam Harvey explains why 5% interest rates are historically normal. The digest also covers AI debt, banking stability, yield curve distortions, and novel hedging strategies.

Oct 7 · 11 min read

Nasdaq 100 Hides S&P 500's Violent Rotation

Surging rates and AI-driven Nasdaq 100 growth obscure broader S&P 500 declines, signaling a dangerous K-shaped economy divergence.

Sep 30 · 13 min read

AI CapEx Ignores VC, but Credit Issuance Is New Fuel

Tech platforms fund AI CapEx, not VC. Private owners in unglamorous sectors hold US wealth. AI investments create new credit and influence central bank narratives, reshaping wealth understanding.

Sep 23 · 14 min read

Copper Supply Crisis Accelerates with AI Demand

Geopolitical fragmentation and AI/energy demands create monumental copper shortages, forcing nations to rethink supply chain resilience and national security in a post-abundant raw materials era.

Sep 16 · 11 min read

Bonds Were the Portfolio Anchor, Now They Are Not

As bond-equity negative correlation ends, Modern Portfolio Theory re-evaluates; historical data reveals this anomaly, pushing investors to use gold as a distinct diversifier for systemic risk.

Sep 9 · 14 min read

Fed's Trail Map Points to September Hike, but Bonds Don't Follow

Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech signaled persistent inflation, increasing September rate hike probability, though bond market reactions were not uniform.

Sep 2 · 13 min read

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